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Airbnb was born in 2007 when two Hosts welcomed three guests to their San Francisco home, and has since grown to over 4 million Hosts who have welcomed more than 1 billion guest arrivals in almost every country across the globe. Every day, Hosts offer unique stays and experiences that make it possible for guests to connect with communities in a more authentic way.The Community You Will Join:Airbnb, a leader in travel and hospitality, is on a mission to create a world where anyone can belong anywhere. We offer unique accommodations and experiences, crafted and curated by locals. As we expand into new marketplaces for in-person experiences and services, we are on the lookout for driven and innovative individuals to help shape our growth trajectory.The Difference You Will Make:Airbnb is seeking an Lead, Advanced Analytics, Global Markets Incrementality, to support market efforts in local marketing, campaigns, partnerships, and activations. The individual in this role will employ causal modeling and create synthetic control groups to understand the attribution and incrementality of our actions. This role demands a deep understanding of time-series analysis and the capability to design, run and measure offline experiments. A key part of the role involves integrating with business technology tooling to execute experiments, surface insights, and embed recommendations.A Typical Day:• Employ advanced data analysis to extract actionable insights that inform strategic decisions related to local marketing, campaigns, partnerships, and activations.• Collaborate closely with the VP Global Markets and regional and country teams, providing data-driven insights to support strategic decisions.• Design and execute offline experiments, measuring their impact and deriving insights for future strategies.• Utilize causal modeling and create synthetic control groups to understand the attribution and incrementality of our actions.• Integrate with business technology tooling to execute experiments, surface insights, and embed recommendations into the system for optimized results.• Collaborate with cross-functional teams, including Strategic Finance, Data and Analytical Engineering, and Data Science, to align strategies and leverage synergies.Your Expertise:• 6+ years of industry experience with a degree (Masters or PhD is a plus) in a quantitative field (e.g., Statistics, Econometrics, Computer Science, Engineering, Mathematics, Data Science, Operations Research).• Prior experience in advanced analytics or business data science within a marketplace or business strategy setting.• Deep understanding of time-series analysis, causal modeling, and experience in designing, running, and measuring offline experiments.• Exceptional business acumen, strategic thinking skills, and the ability to make informed judgments.• Excellent communication skills, capable of engaging with a variety of stakeholders and conveying complex concepts in an accessible manner.• Proven stakeholder management skills, with a strong ability to collaborate and influence across functions.• An agile, growth-minded approach, demonstrated through a history of driving projects from ideation to impact.Your Location:This position is US - Remote Eligible. The role may include occasional work at an Airbnb office or attendance at offsites, as agreed to with your manager. While the position is Remote Eligible, you must live in a state where Airbnb, Inc. has a registered entity. Click here for the up-to-date list of excluded states. This list is continuously evolving, so please check back with us if the state you live in is on the exclusion list. If your position is employed by another Airbnb entity, your recruiter will inform you what states you are eligible to work from.Our Commitment To Inclusion & Belonging:Airbnb is committed to working with the broadest talent pool possible. We believe diverse ideas foster innovation and engagement, and allow us to attract creatively-led people, and to develop the best products, services and solutions. All qualified individuals are encouraged to apply.We strive to also provide a disability inclusive application and interview process. If you are a candidate with a disability and require reasonable accommodation in order to submit an application, please contact us at: [redacted]. Please include your full name, the role you're applying for and the accommodation necessary to assist you with the recruiting process.We ask that you only reach out to us if you are a candidate whose disability prevents you from being able to complete our online application.How We'll Take Care of You:Our job titles may span more than one career level. The actual base pay is dependent upon many factors, such as: training, transferable skills, work experience, business needs and market demands. The base pay range is subject to change and may be modified in the future. This role may also be eligible for bonus, equity, benefits, and Employee Travel Credits.Pay Range$155,000-$187,000 USD