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VP, Credit Loss Forecasting

Job Description:

Role Summary/Purpose:

This role is within the Credit Forecasting and Advanced Analytics team. The team has the overall responsibility to forecast Credit losses on the entire Synchrony portfolio of loan receivables for all use cases.

The Credit loss forecasting process is subject to SOX controls and utilizes several models and non-model tools to create forecast for credit losses that is used downstream in calculating quarterly Allowance for credit losses, and is a critical input to Stress testing and Capital planning as well as business planning. This role focusses on overall process and model/ non-model tool governance responsibilities across the entire Credit Loss forecasting process, and will collaborate with colleagues within the team, and across several second line, third line teams, finance controllership and will be actively engage in external audits as well as regulatory reviews. The role also includes advanced credit analytics of portfolio performance and forecast to assess the reasonability of outcomes from model/ non-model tools. This position presents the opportunity to gain multiple critical experiences in advanced credit analytics, technical tools, models and process governance, leading through influence, and communicating to senior management across first, second and third lines, as well as external reviewers.

We prize intellectual curiosity, passion, problem solving skills, effective communication, and empathy, and join those with the Synchrony Values and our own subject matter acumen to deliver well-informed estimates and share our analytic expertise throughout the company.

Our Way of Working

We’re proud to offer you choice and flexibility. At Synchrony, our way of working allows you to have the option to work from home, near one of our Hubs or come into one of our offices. Occasionally you may be required to commute to our nearest office for in person engagement activities such as business or team meetings, training and culture events.

Essential Responsibilities:

  • Lead the Loss Forecast Process and Model governance

    • Ensure that all existing standards for process governance are properly applied across all aspects of the process. Evaluate any change in policies and standards for process governance and evaluate gaps. Evaluate any process design changes and their impact on operational risk.

    • Ensure all team members and direct stakeholders are aware about their responsibilities related to process risks and controls. Maintain evidence of all controls being performed as designed and in a timely manner. Perform periodic reviews of control evidence

    • Formulate plans to address governance and control gaps, and implement the remediation in a timely manner

  • Responsible for all process and governance requests, including audits and exams, from second line, third line, SOX controllership, external auditors, and regulators, including coordination within and outside the functional area.

  • Perform periodic as well as triggered reviews and updates to RAQ and PRCSA as per Enterprise process governance standards and schedules

  • Responsible for maintaining up-to-date process documentation including process maps, process risks & controls inventory and descriptions

  • Responsible to assess the need for new non-model tools and ensure all tools are rated appropriately based on associated risks, and appropriate controls are established and are executed in a timely manner. maintain an up-to-date inventory of non-models tools used across the team,

  • Evaluate reasonability of outcomes from models and non-models tools. Together with the Loss Forecast area leader, prepare a robust review packages of credit loss estimates for reviews with senior leaders across Credit and Finance function

  • Perform other ad-hoc analysis to support emerging business needs in related areas

  • Lead the issue management analysis and resolution related to models and process (root cause analysis, actions plans, issue and actions tracking and resolution)

  • Assist Model owner with model risk management responsibilities including review of model development documents, documentation for model changes. Ensure all model monitoring is performed as per approved ongoing monitoring plans in a timely manner

  • Assist the process owner in preparation of quarterly ACL memos, drafting narratives related to credit loss forecasting for the annual Capital plan

  • Actively engage with all team members to promote a simplified process design, supported by appropriate automation that is designed for efficiency and mitigation of operational risk

Qualifications/Requirements:

  • Bachelor’s degree in a quantitative field of study (i.e., Accounting, Business, Economics, Finance, Mathematics, Statistics, Engineering, Decision sciences/ Analytics, Risk Management) and 10+ years of experience in Credit, Risk or Collections in Consumer Finance or other relevant professional experience; or in lieu of a degree, 15+ years of experience in Credit, Risk or Collections in Consumer Finance or other relevant professional experience.

  • 4+ years of experience in roles that included responsibilities for process risk management, operational risk management, model risk management within a Consumer lending business, that required frequent interactions with enterprise level governance teams, internal and external auditors

  • 3+ years of experience in predictive modeling/estimation or in analyzing outcomes from such techniques, in areas such as Credit Loss forecasting, Credit Reserves, Stress testing in a Consumer lending business with a focus on revolving line credit

  • Advanced EXCEL skills with demonstrable familiarity with data processing/report building/analysis techniques

  • Strong PowerPoint skills, including ability to create understandable presentations that incorporate graphs or other visual aides to portray complex subjects

Desired Characteristics:

  • Overall understanding of consumer credit lending that stretches across revenue and loss line items, with a focus on revolving products (Credit Cards preferred)

  • Robust understanding of US economic environment, common macro-economic indicators and correlations to consumer credit performance

  • Ability to manage multiple competing initiatives and deliver results in a timely manner and with a focus on accuracy and attention to detail

  • Experience with processes that have significant financial impacts and stretch across multiple teams or functions

  • Strong written and verbal communication skills, to independently present explanations of complex subjects

  • Prior experience with Regulatory interactions and reviews

  • Experience in performing performance analysis on large and diverse consumer credit portfolios, including experience with data visualization tools to create and communicate intuitive visualizations and presentations of in-depth analysis to audiences of varying subject-matter knowledge, experience, and seniority

  • Experience utilizing SAS or SQL as well as open-source tools such as Python, PySpark, to extract, process and analyze data

Grade/Level: 13

The salary range for this position is 155,000.00 - 260,000.00 USD Annual and is eligible for an annual bonus based on individual and company performance.

Actual compensation offered within the posted salary range will be based upon work experience, skill level or knowledge.

Salaries are adjusted according to market in CA, NY Metro and Seattle.

Eligibility Requirements:

  • You must be 18 years or older

  • You must have a high school diploma or equivalent

  • You must be willing to take a drug test, submit to a background investigation and submit fingerprints as part of the onboarding process

  • You must be able to satisfy the requirements of Section 19 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act.

  • New hires (Level 4-7) must have 9 months of continuous service with the company before they are eligible to post on other roles.  Once this new hire time in position requirement is met, the associate will have a minimum 6 months’ time in position before they can post for future non-exempt roles.  Employees, level 8 or greater, must have at least 18 months’ time in position before they can post.  All internal employees must consistently meet performance expectations and have approval from your manager to post (or the approval of your manager and HR if you don’t meet the time in position or performance expectations).

Legal authorization to work in the U.S. is required.  We will not sponsor individuals for employment visas, now or in the future, for this job opening. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, disability, or veteran status. 

Our Commitment:

When you join us, you’ll be part of a diverse, inclusive culture where your skills, experience, and voice are not only heard—but valued. We celebrate the differences in all of us and believe that our individual, unique perspectives is what makes Synchrony truly a great place to work. Together, we’re building a future where we can all belong, connect and turn ideals into action. Through the power of our 8 Diversity Networks+, with more than 60% of our workforce engaged, you’ll find community to connect with an opportunity to go beyond your passions.

This starts when you choose to apply for a role at Synchrony. We ensure all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to age, race, color, religion, gender, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, disability, or veteran status.

Reasonable Accommodation Notice:

  • Federal law requires employers to provide reasonable accommodation to qualified individuals with disabilities. Please tell us if you require a reasonable accommodation to apply for a job or to perform your job. Examples of reasonable accommodation include making a change to the application process or work procedures, providing documents in an alternate format, using a sign language interpreter, or using specialized equipment.

  • If you need special accommodations, please call our Career Support Line so that we can discuss your specific situation. We can be reached at 1-866-301-5627.   Representatives are available from 8am – 5pm Monday to Friday, Central Standard Time

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What You Should Know About VP, Credit Loss Forecasting, Synchrony

Are you ready to take a pivotal role in shaping credit loss forecasting? Synchrony is on the lookout for a Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting to join our dynamic team in Stamford. In this influential position, you’ll oversee the governance of the entire credit loss forecasting process, ensuring we deliver accurate estimates that guide our business decisions and financial health. You’ll work closely with various cross-functional teams, including finance and auditing, promoting a culture of collaboration while tackling complex challenges in consumer finance. Your expertise in advanced credit analytics will shine as you evaluate model outcomes and engage with senior leadership, showcasing your ability to present and communicate findings effectively. We value curiosity and problem-solving, encouraging our team members to think outside the box and improve processes. You’ll find our flexible working environment suits your lifestyle, whether you choose to work from home or join us in the office. Your experience in credit and risk management, paired with analytical skills, will play a crucial role in maintaining our high standards and driving innovative solutions. If you’re passionate about making a difference and leading a team towards success, Synchrony is the perfect place for you to grow and thrive!

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) for VP, Credit Loss Forecasting Role at Synchrony
What responsibilities does the Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony have?

The Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony is responsible for leading the entire credit loss forecasting process, ensuring governance and compliance with standards. They engage in evaluating changes in policies, audit requests, and coordinate interactions with enterprise-level governance teams, maintaining an up-to-date inventory of forecasting models and tools.

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What qualifications are required for the VP of Credit Loss Forecasting position at Synchrony?

Candidates for the VP of Credit Loss Forecasting position at Synchrony must have a bachelor's degree in a quantitative field and at least 10 years of experience in credit, risk, or collections within consumer finance. Additionally, experience in process risk management and predictive modeling is essential, along with strong analytical and communication skills.

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What does the daily work environment look like for a Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony?

A Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony enjoys a flexible work environment, allowing them to choose remote work or office-based engagement. Daily tasks include collaborating with team members, managing governance processes, and analyzing credit loss forecasts with a focus on accuracy and effectiveness.

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How does the VP of Credit Loss Forecasting role impact Synchrony's business decisions?

The VP of Credit Loss Forecasting plays a critical role in guiding Synchrony's business strategies through accurate forecasting of credit losses. This position influences decisions around capital planning, stress testing, and overall financial stability, ensuring the company mitigates operational risks effectively.

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What skills are advantageous for a Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony?

Key skills for a Vice President of Credit Loss Forecasting at Synchrony include advanced proficiency in Excel, experience with predictive modeling, strong analytical abilities, and effective communication skills. Familiarity with data visualization tools and coding languages like SAS or SQL is also highly beneficial.

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Common Interview Questions for VP, Credit Loss Forecasting
Can you explain your experience with credit loss forecasting?

When answering, illustrate your approach to forecasting, including specific models you’ve employed, how you ensured accuracy, and examples of how your forecasting has positively influenced business decisions.

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How do you manage risks associated with credit loss models?

Discuss your methodology for risk mitigation, including how you monitor models for performance, the types of controls you implement, and any successful strategies you’ve developed to reduce impacts from operational risk.

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What is your process for communicating complex findings to senior management?

You should emphasize your ability to simplify complex data through storytelling and visual aids, showcasing why clear communication is critical in conveying insights to non-experts.

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Describe a time you led a team to improve a forecasting process.

Share a specific example where you identified a gap in forecasting, implemented changes, and the measurable results that followed, stressing your leadership and problem-solving capabilities.

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How do you stay updated on changes in the economic environment impacting consumer credit?

Highlight your commitment to continuous learning—mention reliable sources, industry reports, or memberships in relevant organizations that keep you informed on macroeconomic trends.

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What role does automation play in your forecasting processes?

Discuss how you utilize automation to enhance efficiency within your forecasting models and processes, providing tangible examples where applicable.

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How do you ensure compliance with industry standards in your forecasting role?

Explain your approach to maintaining compliance, including regular audits, documentation reviews, and engaging with regulatory bodies or risk management teams.

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What techniques do you employ for predictive modeling in credit risk analysis?

Discuss specific modeling techniques you favor and your rationale for using them, including peers evaluation and how you leverage historical data effectively.

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How do you prioritize competing initiatives within the credit loss forecasting process?

Express your strategies for prioritizing tasks, including how you assess impact, stakeholder needs, and deadlines to manage multiple projects efficiently.

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What have you learned from previous regulatory interactions?

Share insights gleaned from past experiences with regulatory reviews—what were the key takeaways, how have they shaped your current practices, and how do you prepare for future engagements?

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Full-time, hybrid
DATE POSTED
April 17, 2025

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