Consultancy for Project Final Evaluation Niger Delta Project (CRIN-VIN)

Consultancy Terms of Reference for Project Final Evaluation

A Community-Centered Approach to Transforming Criminality and Violence in the Niger Delta Project (CRIN-VIN)

Context

Search for Common Ground

Search is an international conflict transformation Non Governmental Organisation (NGO) that aims to transform the way individuals, groups, governments, and companies deal with conflict, away from adversarial approaches and towards collaborative solutions. Headquartered in Washington DC, USA, and Brussels, Belgium, with 52 field offices in over 30 countries including Nigeria, Search designs and implements multifaceted, culturally appropriate, and conflict-sensitive programs using a diverse range of tools, including media and training, to promote dialogue, increase knowledge and determine a positive shift in behaviors. Search is seeking a consultant to conduct a project final  evaluation to determine gender disaggregated information for measuring outcome indicators of our project covering 33 LGAs and 3 states of Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers in the Niger Delta, Nigeria. Additionally, the consultant will do a socio-economic cum political, and environmental analysis of factors that drive criminality relating to bunkering in the region and the needs of community members, especially youths in the target states that will inform intervention actions. .  

The Project 

Oil bunkering and artisanal oil refining have profound implications on security and stability in the Niger Delta, and cannot be divorced from broader questions of socio-economic inequalities and social exclusion in the region. The practices are associated with environmental degradation in nearby communities, including reductions in water, air, and soil quality, which in turn negatively affect livelihoods for farmers and fishers. Consequently, the presence of artisanal refining camps across Bayelsa, Rivers, and Delta States has led to the increasing militarization of the area as cult gangs, pirates, the police, military, and community vigilante groups compete to capture economic benefits at various points along the production and distribution value chain. Activities of non-state actors; individuals and Multi-National corporation’s activities within the region, instead of curbing, have exacerbated the precarious situation. 

In addition, militarized government responses to insecurity and criminality in the Niger Delta, which do not address underlying economic and social drivers of violence, have also caused a cascade of negative consequences in affected communities.

To curtail the growing economic and human costs of criminality, including oil bunkering, artisanal oil refining, and gang and cultist violence, it is pivotal to address the fundamental social and economic drivers of criminality in the region through a bottom-up, inclusive, and community-centered approach that takes into account the needs of all community members, especially youth in Bayelsa, Delta and Rivers States.

Search for Common Ground, in collaboration with co-applicants PIND, and SDN, successfully implemented an 18-month action funded by the European Union. The initiative aimed to foster inclusive community security approaches to address the systemic drivers of violence and criminality in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers States. 

Specific Objectives (SO) and Expected Results (ER) of the Project:

SO1: To empower diverse community actors to address social exclusion, lack of economic opportunity, and environmental degradation

ER1.1: Local community actors, including youth, are better equipped to jointly address social exclusion, lack of economic opportunity, and environmental degradation

ER1.2: Youth and adult leaders increasingly collaborate to explore and address drivers of division, criminality, and conflict in their communities

SO2: To strengthen collaboration amongst communities, security actors, and the private sector around preventing and responding to the triggers and core drivers of violence and criminality 

ER2.1: There is greater collaboration between communities and security and government actors around early warning and response to key security issues

ER2.2: The private sector better collaborates with and responds to the needs of local   communities

SO3: To foster online and offline social cohesion within and between communities in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers

ER3.1: Target communities have increased positive interactions across dividing lines

ER3.2: Target online audiences have increased access to positive content that fosters social cohesion

SO4: To foster multi-level dialogue between communities, civil society actors, and government officials in Nigeria and abroad that informs innovative policy development around preventing criminality and violence in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers

ER4.1: There are enhanced networks and opportunities for actors at all levels to formulate policies that respond to the underlying drivers of violence in the Niger Delta 

• As the project nears its final phase, we are seeking a consultant to conduct a comprehensive final evaluation of the project with the main goal of determining or otherwise whether the objectives of the project have been met. 
• Specifically, the consultant will employ the evaluation principles  to assess the  project performance based on the following:

• Note that the findings from this final evaluation will serve as a critical reference point for measuring the project's effectiveness, level of achievement of project objectives ,and impacts from the baseline benchmarks. This information will support learning and accountability for stakeholders, Search and the donor. Hence, the consultant would be expected to provide End-line values on the underlisted outcome indicators of the project and compare it with the baseline figures to show variance that will indicate progress towards meeting the project target. 
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• Impact: To foster inclusive community security approaches to address the systemic drivers of violence and criminality in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers States
• % decrease in community members who believe that there are significant risks of violent incidents in their community (disaggregated by age, sex, location) (aligns with NDICI impact indicator under Objective 7 – “Public perception of the level of security”)
• % of community actors, including young people, who believe they can make a positive difference in the area where they live  (disaggregated by age, sex, and location); This is a Peace Impact Framework indicator    
• % of increase in community members who believe decision-making on security issues is inclusive and responsive (disaggregated by age, sex, and location); This is a Peace Impact Framework indicator 
• Number  of incidents of serious violence or conflict associated with natural resources extraction or management, (in particular, oil and natural gas) (NDICI Impact Indicator, Objective 7.2) 

• Objective 1: To empower diverse community actors to address social exclusion, lack of economic opportunity, and environmental degradation
• % of community leaders who report positive relationships with youth in their community  (disaggregated by age, sex, and location)      
• % increase in community members who believe that there are significant opportunities to earn a livelihood in their community (disaggregated by age, sex, and location)

• Objective 2: To strengthen collaboration amongst communities, security actors, and the private sector around preventing and responding to the triggers and core drivers of violence and criminality
• % of community members who report being consulted by security/private sector actors around issues that concern them at least once in the past six months (disaggregated by age, sex, location)

• Objective 3: To foster online and offline social cohesion within and between communities in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers
• % of individuals reporting an improvement in inter- and intra-community understanding in target localities (NDICI Core Outcome Indicator, Objective 5)
• % of positive sentiments (i.e. likes vs. dislikes; positive comments) associated with the content from the social media campaign (disaggregated by age, sex, location)

• Objective 4: To foster multi-level dialogue between communities, civil society actors, and government officials in Nigeria and abroad that informs innovative policy development around preventing criminality and violence in Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers
• % of participating regional, state, and national actors who report enhanced multi-stakeholder cooperation around criminality, including with local actors  (disaggregated by sex, actor type)      
• % increase in state-level security body members who believe that there is effective security infrastructure in their state (disaggregated by sex, age, actor type, location)

• The final evaluation will address but not limited to the following questions:

• Were the project’s outcomes aligned with the identified needs and priorities of the target community?
• Did the project address significant gaps in the context of its implementation?
• Was the intervention adaptable to changes in the operating environment?

• To what extent were the project’s objectives and targets met?
• What factors contributed to or hindered the achievement of these objectives?
• Were the methods and strategies used effective in delivering results?

• What significant changes occurred in the lives of beneficiaries as a result of the intervention?
• Did the project contribute to systemic or transformative changes?
• Were there any unintended positive or negative consequences?

• Are mechanisms in place to sustain the project’s benefits?
• Were local capacities and systems strengthened to maintain activities?
• Did the project integrate environmental, financial, and social sustainability considerations?

• Was the project consistent with national policies and donor interventions?
• Did it complement or duplicate efforts of other stakeholders?
•  Were synergies achieved through collaboration with other programs?

• The final evaluation  will be conducted across Bayelsa, Delta, and Rivers States, gathering information from representatives of local government areas and communities where the project was implemented within the three senatorial zones of each state:
• The evaluation will cover the full duration of the project .
• The evaluation will encompass all the components and activities of the project, including its design, implementation, and results.

• Bayelsa State (8 LGAs): Southern Ijaw, Brass, Ogbia, Ekeremor, Sagbama, Nembe, Yenagoa.
• Delta State (13 LGAs): Burutu, Udu, Ethiope East, Warri North, Bomadi, Warri South West, Ughelli North, Ughelli South, Isoko North, Uvwie, Warri South, Sapele.
• Rivers State (13 LGAs): Andoni, Emohua, Port Harcourt, Obio/Akpor, Gokana, Khana, Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni, Eleme, Asari-Toru, Akuku-Toru, Ahoada West, Ahoada East, Okrika.

• The consultant, in submitting their proposal, should provide a comprehensive outline of the research approach and data collection methodology to be used. This should include the proposed sampling techniques and their justification in relation to the research objectives. The application must clearly explain why the suggested methodology is the most suitable for achieving the study objectives. Furthermore, the proposal should clarify the various tools to be utilized, detailing how each tool will contribute to addressing the established lines of inquiry. 

• Desk review of project documents, reports, and relevant literature.
• Quantitative surveys with beneficiaries and stakeholders.
• Qualitative methods such as focus group discussions, key informant interviews, and case studies.
• Field visits to project locations to observe activities and outcomes.

• Finalizing the literature review.
• Designing the final methodology.
• Developing data collection tools.
• Training enumerators.
• Conducting data analysis.
• Drafting the report and actionable recommendations, which will be validated during one-day sessions in each of the target states.

• The consultant(s) will be responsible for organizing all logistical arrangements related to data collection, including vehicles, fuel, and drivers. These costs must be included in the proposed study budget.
• Additionally, Search will provide the external consultant with relevant background materials for the project, including previous mappings and listenership surveys, to support the study.

• Timeline
• This study will take place from April 2025 with the final deliverables due by 30th April 2025 at the latest.
• Final deadlines will be agreed upon by Search and the Consultant upon finalization of the contract.

• Deliverables and Expectations
• Search expects the following deliverables from the external consultant(s) to align with the agreed timeline and budget:

• Detailed methodology, data collection tools, analysis plan, and timeline.

• Training of data collectors or setup of systems for data collection.

• Supervision and participation in data collection activities.

• Oversight of data coding and analysis.

• Presentation of initial trends and preliminary findings after data collection.

• Submission of raw data collected from the field and cleaned data used for analysis.

• Submission of a draft end line report in English for review by Search staff and partners.

• Written in English and consistent with Search branding and standards.
• Incorporates the following:
• Clear explanation of objectives, research questions, methods, and limitations.
• Findings structured around study objectives and linked to target groups.
• Strategic recommendations that are audience-specific, accessible, and actionable.
• Includes appendices with research instruments, a list of interviewees, terms of references, and a brief biography of the evaluator(s).

• A concise, 2-page summary of key findings as a separate document.

• PowerPoint slides (maximum 12 slides) summarizing key findings and recommendations.

• Conduct a session to present findings, insights, and recommendations.

• A detailed budget should be submitted, outlining the following:

• Specify daily rates for all personnel involved in the study.

• Include costs related to data collection, such as sampling, transportation, and logistics for the number of people sampled and the sites selected for data collection.

• Include the costs for data analysis and the production of deliverables, such as reports, presentations, and summaries.

• Include the cost of mobilizing up to 35 persons for holding a data validation session in one of the target states.

• The budget should include all planned costs for the study, with no additional costs expected to be borne by Search.

• The following skills and experience are expected by Search for the selected evaluator for this project:
• Proficiency in English (written and spoken);
• Demonstrated expertise in conducting evaluations based on DAC principles.
• Proficiency in mixed-methods research and participatory approaches.
• More than 7 years of experience in conducting media mapping, and media evaluation, including collecting data using interviews, surveys, and focus group Discussion methods;
• Have done similar livelihood studies involving youth in the Niger Delta.
• Experience in previous work of this nature in the Niger Delta with the social sector;
• Experience working with international organizations/Non-governmental Organizations;
• Experience conducting quantitative surveys and analysis;
• Strong analytical and report-writing skills
• Familiarity and experience with contextual challenges in the geographic location(s) where the study will take place.

• Comprehensive and systematic inquiry: The consultant should make the most of the existing information and the full range of stakeholders available at the time of the review. Consultants should conduct systematic, data-based inquiries. He or she should communicate his or her methods and approaches accurately and in sufficient detail to allow others to understand, interpret and critique his or her work. He or she should make clear the limitations of the review and its results.
• Competence: The consultant should possess the abilities and skills and experience appropriate to undertake the tasks proposed and should practice within the limits of his or her professional training and competence.
• Honesty and integrity: The consultant should be transparent with the contractor/constituent about: any conflict of interest, any change made in the negotiated project plan and the reasons why those changes were made, and any risk that certain procedures or activities produce misleading review information.
• Respect for people: Consultants respect the security, dignity and self-worth of respondents and program participants. The consultant has the responsibility to be sensitive to and respect differences amongst participants in culture, religion, gender, disability, age and ethnicity.
• In addition, the consultant will respect Search’s evaluation standards, to be found in Search’s evaluation guidelines: 

• Consultant proposals will be selected for:
• Relevance of proposed methodology to the goal, objectives, and research questions for the project.
• Quality of proposed methods, conflict sensitivity approaches, and quality control measures.
• Qualifications of the candidate(s).
• Proposed budget in relation to proposed methodology, deliverables and team.
• Timeline for proposed activities.

• The evaluation will be managed by the SEARCH Team, with the consultant(s) reporting to DMEL Manager who is responsible for the coordination of the study

To apply, interested candidates (individuals or teams) are requested to submit the following two documents along with a short cover letter:

Curriculum vitae and a sample of a past baseline research work in the Niger Delta.

A technical proposal proposing a methodology for the evaluation together with a financial proposal for the completion of the aforementioned deliverables and a short cover letter.

Note that all documents should be merged and uploaded as a single document.

Applications must be submitted on or before 31st  March 2025